globals [ num-infected tree-mode? ;; true after killing uninfected nodes / links infectious-component ;; the graph component that includes the infected node ] turtles-own [ infected? ;; true if agent has been infected infection-count ;; the number of turtles as turtle has infected explored? ;; used to find the infectious component ] ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; ;;; Main Procedures ;;; ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; to spread ;; infection can't take place while in infection tree mode ;; or if every agent has already been infected if all? infectious-component [infected?] [stop] ask turtles with [ infected? = true ] [ ;; infect neighbors ask link-neighbors with [ infected? = false] [ if ( random-float 1 <= infect-rate ) ;; infect with probability p [ set infected? true show-turtle set color red + 1 ;; incremement infection-count of the node doing the infection ask myself [set infection-count infection-count + 1] ;; color the link with the node doing the infection ask link-with myself [set color red - 1 set thickness 1 show-link] ] ] ;; resize node so that the area is proportional to the current number of infections set size 2.25 * sqrt (infection-count + 1) ] ;; update the total number of infected agents set num-infected count turtles with [infected? = true] do-plotting tick end ;; toggle infection tree mode ;; when tree-mode is on, only links responsible for contagion and infected nodes ;; are displayed. tree-mode also affects layout to toggle-tree ifelse tree-mode? [ ask turtles with [not infected?] [show-turtle] ask links with [color != red - 1] [show-link] set tree-mode? false ] [ ask turtles with [not infected?] [hide-turtle] ask links with [color != red - 1] [hide-link] set tree-mode? true ] end ;; spring layout of infection tree while in tree mode ;; otherwise, layout all nodes and links to do-layout ifelse tree-mode? [repeat 5 [layout-spring (turtles with [infected?]) (links with [color = red - 1]) 0.2 4 0.9]] [repeat 5 [layout-spring turtles links 0.2 4 0.9]] end ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; ;;; Setup Procedures ;;; ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; to generate-topology ;; (for this model to work with NetLogo's new plotting features, ;; __clear-all-and-reset-ticks should be replaced with clear-all at ;; the beginning of your setup procedure and reset-ticks at the end ;; of the procedure.) __clear-all-and-reset-ticks set-default-shape turtles "outlined circle" ;; setup small world topology create-turtles num-nodes [set explored? false] ;; generate erdos-renyi random graph let num-links ceiling (num-nodes * avg-degree / 2) while [count links < num-links] [ ask one-of turtles [ create-link-with one-of other turtles ] ] setup ;; Layout turtles: layout-circle (sort turtles) 20 repeat 15 [do-layout] repeat 55 [do-layout display] end to setup clear-all-plots reset-ticks set tree-mode? false ask links [set color gray + 1.5 set thickness 0.5] ask turtles [reset-node] ;; infect a single agent ask one-of turtles [ set infected? true set size 5 set shape "target" set color yellow explore ] set num-infected 1 set infectious-component turtles with [explored?] end to reset-node set color gray - 0.75 set size 2.1 set infected? false set infection-count 0 set explored? false end ;; finds all turtles reachable from this turtle to explore ;; turtle procedure if explored? [ stop ] set explored? true ask link-neighbors [ explore ] end to mouse-infect if mouse-down? [ let nearest-nodes turtles with [distancexy-nowrap mouse-xcor mouse-ycor < 1.5] if any? nearest-nodes [ ask one-of nearest-nodes [ ifelse infected? [ set infected? false set color gray - 0.75 set num-infected num-infected - 1 ] [ set infected? true set color red + 1 set num-infected num-infected + 1 ] ] display ] ] end ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; ;;; Plotting ;;; ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; to do-plotting ;; plot the number of infected individuals at each step set-current-plot "Number infected" set-current-plot-pen "inf" plotxy ticks num-infected end @#$#@#$#@ GRAPHICS-WINDOW 295 10 788 524 80 80 3.0 1 10 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -80 80 -80 80 1 1 1 ticks 30.0 SLIDER 6 187 208 220 num-nodes num-nodes 100 500 200 1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 6 226 209 259 avg-degree avg-degree 0.25 5.0 1.05 0.05 1 NIL HORIZONTAL PLOT 4 330 281 524 Number infected time n 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 true false "" "" PENS "inf" 1.0 2 -2674135 true "" "" BUTTON 6 47 246 80 setup with current topology setup NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 SLIDER 4 282 177 315 infect-rate infect-rate 0 1 0.15 0.01 1 NIL HORIZONTAL BUTTON 7 94 123 127 spread once spread NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 BUTTON 129 94 246 127 spread spread T 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 MONITOR 184 282 281 327 NIL num-infected 17 1 11 BUTTON 170 134 246 167 layout do-layout\ndisplay T 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 BUTTON 8 134 163 167 toggle infection tree toggle-tree NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 BUTTON 6 10 245 43 setup a new network generate-topology NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 @#$#@#$#@ ## WHAT IS IT? This model is a SI diffusion model on a random graph. SI means that individuals can be in two states - susceptible (meaning they can get the disease) or infected (meaning that they have the disease). Once they have the disease, they stay infected and can continue to infect others. The original documentation is placed in quotes. I've only really modified it to only optionally lay out the network, to have a probability 'p' of an infection spreading over an edge at each time step, and to plot the number of infected individuals over time. Additionally, this is a diffusion model. After setting up the network with the desired number of nodes (num-nodes), it will infect one node at random. You can then step through the diffusion process either step by step (spread once) or until every node is infected (spread complete). The plot will show the number of nodes infected at each time point. The time monitor will give the current time, and in the case of the 'spread complete' option, how many steps it took until all the nodes are infected. Note that this is the SI model - nodes are either susceptible or infected and there is no recovery. The 'p' parameter gives the probability that a an infected node will infect a neighbor at each time step. From here on down is Uri's original, much more organized documentation: ## HOW IT WORKS The model creates a network of the "numnodes" number of nodes with the given average degree, connecting pairs of nodes at random. It then infects one individual at random. The p slider determines the probability that an infected individual will infect a susceptible contact at every time step. ## HOW TO USE IT "The LAYOUT? switch controls whether or not the layout procedure is run. This procedure attempts to move the nodes around to make the structure of the network easier to see. The PLOT? switch turns off the plots which speeds up the model. The RESIZE-NODES button will make all of the nodes take on a size representative of their degree distribution. If you press it again the nodes will return to equal size. If you want the model to run faster, you can turn off the LAYOUT? and PLOT? switches and/or freeze the view (using the on/off button in the control strip over the view). The LAYOUT? switch has the greatest effect on the speed of the model. If you have LAYOUT? switched off, and then want the network to have a more appealing layout, press the REDO-LAYOUT button which will run the layout-step procedure until you press the button again. You can press REDO-LAYOUT at any time even if you had LAYOUT? switched on and it will try to make the network easier to see." Use the p slider to specify the probability that an infected individual will infect a susceptible contact at every time step. View the progress of the disease diffusion on the network on the plot showing the cumulative number of individuals infected. You can also specify the number of nodes and the average degree/node. ## THINGS TO NOTICE Observe how varying the transmission probability p, and the average degree in the network affects the reach and speed of diffusion. ## EXTENDING THE MODEL Try to see if you can create the SIS model - nodes recover and return to the 'susceptible state' after either a fixed time period, or with some probability at each time step. In this case you are looking for the conditions (e.g. given value of p or average degree) under which you will observe epidemics - outbreaks that affect a significant fraction of the network, vs. conditions under which the outbreak remains small and contained. ## RELATED MODELS See other models in the Networks section of the Models Library, such as Giant Component. See also Network Example, in the Code Examples section. ## COPYRIGHT AND LICENSE Copyright 2008 Uri Wilensky. Modified by Lada Adamic 2009. ![CC BY-NC-SA 3.0](http://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-nc-sa/3.0/88x31.png) This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 559 Nathan Abbott Way, Stanford, California 94305, USA. Commercial licenses are also available. To inquire about commercial licenses, please contact Uri Wilensky at uri@northwestern.edu. @#$#@#$#@ default true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 5 40 250 150 205 260 250 airplane true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 135 15 120 60 120 105 15 165 15 195 120 180 135 240 105 270 120 285 150 270 180 285 210 270 165 240 180 180 285 195 285 165 180 105 180 60 165 15 arrow true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 0 150 105 150 105 293 195 293 195 150 300 150 box false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 285 285 225 285 75 150 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 135 15 75 150 15 285 75 Polygon -7500403 true true 15 75 15 225 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 135 15 75 Line -16777216 false 150 135 285 75 bug true 0 Circle -7500403 true true 96 182 108 Circle -7500403 true true 110 127 80 Circle -7500403 true true 110 75 80 Line -7500403 true 150 100 80 30 Line -7500403 true 150 100 220 30 butterfly true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 165 209 199 225 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